MLB Showdown 2011: Starting Pitchers 300-390 Points
Now time for
the oddball players. The guys who have a 300 to 390 point range. These guys are
not going to consistently shut even the most inept offenses down. They also
should not get chased for 7 or more runs unless you play in a strategy card
rich league. You are not going to get consistent +6 IP length out of these guys
so get that thought out of your head. Budget for 3 bullpen innings from these
guys unless you have a good reason to think otherwise. Extreme hitting line ups
may have to use one of these players as a first starter. That does not make
them an ace but they still need to perform. Most players are going to see these
guys as a 3 pitcher and pitching heavy to extreme may have them as cabooses to
their rotations. No matter what you use them for it is important to understand
the player you are getting.
There are no
6's in this range and if there were they would not be worth mentioning. The 5s
are not much better but they at least deserve a look. They are as much of a
horse as you are going to get out of this point range. You have Jake Westbrook
5, 1-14 out with a decent ground ball 6-11. His small none advancing out makes
him even more susceptable to small ballers then I would like. You get what you
pay for I guess at 370 points. He has 6 IP barring he does not give 3 tallies.
He looks like he fits better as a 4 pitcher for a slightly pitching heavy team.
He can be stretched and neutralize power as much as could be expected. Colby
Lewis only for the brave souls. He has a 1-15 out for 6 IP. Small GB with 7-9.
Worst part 20 HR, 19 2B. Not a even worth the look. Even if he never gave up
the advantage he is going to get hurt enough to lose.
A better
pick then both of those guys is Mike Leake at 380 points as a 4. He is a 1-16
out with a 1-6 none advancing out. Not great by any means but his 7-11 ground
ball will do some good and his serviceable chart makes him a better look then
the 5's. His 5 IP is easily supplemented by cheap relievers or strategy cards.
Worst comes to worst just stretch him. The interesting pick here is Rick
Porcello for 300 points. He may play as well as the 350 pointers if people are
not stealing or if you play in a league
where the OF has a chance to throw runners out at home when trying to score
from second on a single. If this is the case and you end up with a 5 or higher
in the OF on defense then this guy has a chance to do good things for cheap
late in the rotation at the cost.
I like a 3
in this situation. There are a few players I think can do things at the point
values. Michael Pineda at 340 points may be a tough customer to score runs
against. He is most susceptable to power lines. As we have mentioned in
countless previous articles those line ups are few and far between in this
years class. For 340 he can pitch 6 innings on his card. He is a 1-16 out. The
combo that makes him lethal? His 17-18 walk and 1-9 none advancing out. He has
a microscopic groundball at 10-11 but the walks instead of hits and strike outs
will keep people from touching home. Much better card then Phillip Humber at
the points. Anibal Sanchez is much worse at 320 with the same none advancing
out. The difference is the 18 is now a single instead of a walk. Even the 1
bigger ground ball does not sell me on him over Pineda but he is still a good
pick at the points.
The thought
of a 2 or lower in this situation is something I would be somewhat scared of.
Is John Lannan a 2, 6 IP, 1-17 out with
a 7-13 GB a useful pick in some instances? Of course a GB that big will solve
problems. If you do that you better have ways of keeping people from stealing.
Ether Pudge or cards. David Price at 360 is worth a look in a larger league. 2
for 7 IP and a 1-9 none advancing out may throw up enough shut out frames to be
useful. In leagues that are NL rules only these guys will mow down pitchers
really well.
In this
range it is all about knowing your league and your team. Pick these guys around
your team. I do not recommend doing the opposite. With the low points and the
high expectations these guys are going to need help from their teammates for
maximum success. More expensive players just pay their way out of problems.
No comments:
Post a Comment