Friday, February 15, 2013

#ShotsFriday
                The “Money Ball” as a philosophy that has many celebrities. There is Billy Beane, the pioneer, the first person of baseball merit to actually execute the philosophy successfully. There is Michael Lewis the author of the book which many of us, including myself, speak of highly though never actually read. Finally there is Bill James, The Father of Sabermetrics as many of us know them today. This Showdown philosophy is not at all strictly limited to the actual works of any of those people and is more or less just a catchy phrase for the many who do not appreciate the entire minutia that goes into what I understand to be a very complicated thing. That overly simple understanding of baseball is this…It is good to get on-base.


                Money Ball players in Showdown really covet one thing, getting the advantage. These players will do anything to get the advantage as much as possible (note that I did not say get on-base as much as possible, we will explore later). They love having multiple 10’s and the idea of a solid 11 is almost irresistible. These players will sacrifice to get the advantage will sacrifice man things in the name of advantage.

Speed is always sacrificed for elite advantage getting. There will be few if any speed A players. This includes lead-off hitter. Every speed costs about 50 points for 10s give or take. These guys don’t mind speed C’s but ideally will take speed B’s. They are very similar with Power Hitters in that they care more about what they want, for Money Ballers it is advantage or Power Hitters it is homers.

Fielding is something of next to no consideration. It is such a secondary thought that I am not sure many of these players care at all. Given two players of equal merit they would obviously pick the one with higher fielding. They would not sacrifice the plan for the sake of +2 more fielding on the in-field and likely not even look at the OF at all.

The last and maybe the most painful for me is the charts. These guys will have so many un-impressive charts that it pains me deeply. Pingers at least desire that single 20 homer. That glimmer of hope that every 5 percent of the time they get the advantage they could have something fun happen. Money Ballers don’t care for hope, especially with 6-7-8 hitters. Just give them the advantage so they can walk and be merry. Pray they don’t get on too much without the advantage because that only enables them.

The biggest flaw I have found with this way of playing (which I actually deem as a successful strategy depending on how much competition there is for these players in the league) is they tend to avoid math. Sometimes these players will take a 10, 1-6 over a 9, 1-2 with a better chart for the same points. Basic math here shows that against a 6 control pitcher the 10 gets on 14% more than probability and the 9 gets 13.5% more than probability. Against 5 controls the 10 gets 17.5% more than probability while the 9 gets 18% more than probability. What the 9 get on base more? Trust me the math works out. The lower the control the more the 9 gains the beats the 10. For this reason I suggest all Money Ballers really do their research. Advantage and on-base are not the same thing in Showdown though young players would argue otherwise. Here is about as good of a Moneyball line-up as you could assemble with no restrictions but points.

1B: Nick Johnson (09)      10 OB, 250 PTS
2B: Luis Castillo (01)         10 OB, 340 PTS
SS: Hanley Frias (00)         10 OB, 290 PTS
3B: Chase Headley (11)    10 OB, 290 PTS
LF: Chris Coglin (09)          10 OB, 290 PTS
CF: Darryl Hamilton (00)   9 OB, 220 PTS
RF: Rickey Henderson (01) 9 OB, 170 PTS
C: Brent Mayne (00P)        10 OB, 350 PTS
Total,      2,200 PTS.

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