MLB Showdown: Relievers 140-160 Points
You want to
win awards pay 200 or more points for all your relievers. You want to win
leagues learn how to get that production from players in the 140 to 160 range.
You can and with a keen eye and a hair of luck you will. I wrote a normal write
up and just deleted the whole thing because it lacked the practicality needed
to understand these players. So for this article imagine the following line up.
I will list on bases as the batting order. Then I will put A for speed guys and
P for power guys. I will also put C for slow guys and N for no homer guys. I
know it is tough to follow but it is just basic order to refer to to see who
you should put in.
|
1
|
2
|
3
|
4
|
5
|
6
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
|
9A
|
10N
|
11P
|
9PA
|
10
|
9A
|
7AN
|
5A
|
Pitcher
|
For the 6s
where in this order does it make sense to put in a player in this point range.
Every one of these guys is a 1-15 out with a 20 2B. Almost 58% of innings they
are going to allow at least runner on base without even surrendering the
advantage. There are players out there who think having the advantage makes it
impossible to give up runs. This is not true at all. If you put this player in
against the 7-8-9 hitter 25% of the time that 7 hitter is getting on base (not counting
the 5 percent of the time you give him the advantage). If he has a steal card
or any luck you may be spending 150 points to give up a run to a very weak set
of hitters. There are better players to attack those guys with. These guys will
give up runs but usually only 1. You shouldn't use these guys in situations
where you you are not going to give up more then 1. Their stregnth is getting
the advantage and countering power. These players should not start an inning
after the 4th batter. Best one is JJ Putz for 160 points. 2 BB's and
a 1-8 none advancing out.
The 5s here
make no sense. For 10 points more you get the same chart and an extra control.
In a huge league where the well dries up then maybe come down here but I see no
need. Chris Resop would be the one I would take if I had to. These guys have
the same 58% of innings where they allow at least base runner. They need to
start innings facing batters 1-4 as well.
Is the story
the same for the 4s? Actually no. The line moves for them and they have a
different use. Hypothetically we pick Marmol (the best in the range). Same 1-15
out (same 58%). He doesn't give up a double though. Small thing tough to factor
how important that is. Massive none advancing out though, 1-10. Really you want
him to start on batters 4-6 (in this line up the lead off hitter may also be an
option). The 4 doesn't completely neutralize power. He makes the lead off man
mean much less then any 5 or 6 control. They can steal second only to need a
single to score instead of a series of outs. He can nuetralize batters 1,4 and
6s speed (7 and 8 as well but there should be outs if he gets on base). All the
other 4 control options in this range have bigger outs which lowers that 58%
and forces the opposing manager to actually get the advantage to do damage.
Now we are
really looking for a specialty player. The problem with Marmol or another 4 is
that is that if they give up hits to 7 and 8 with the advantage really bad
players can score runs that count as much as a solo homer by the 3 hitter. All
the 3s in this range are 1-17 outs. They give allow a runner to reach base 38%
of the time if they have the advantage the whole time. Only 15% of those
players are the lead off man. That is really hard to create a run out of.
Especially if you are at a point in the line up where there is not a lot of
power. These guys can put 0s on the board when starting an inning against 6-8
better then the 6 control relievers for the same price I argue. Two guys dont
give up doubles the two that do have 18-19 BB. Creating runs off their charts
is hard. Jonathon Papelbon is the best option in my mind. He the 18 BB, 19-20
1B, 1-11 none advancing out. I also think the 140 point 2s are worth a look in
bigger leagues that may have lots of people punting at the bottom of their line
ups. If they don't give up the advantage 27% percent of the time they allow a
runner to reach base.
The point
here is not to force any player down your throat. Just a thought, if you paid
for a 200 point monster 6 earlier and you only need 10 innings pitched out of
your bullpen then maybe consider this guy being a 3 or 4. At this point range
these guys need to throw on average about 1 and a half inning per series. With
the bar set here it is even easier to see how these guys can be so useful.
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